11:00 PM EST
Published by Darius Mack
Good late evening! It’s a little bit past my bed-time and I have an early shift tomorrow so I’m going to keep it short and simple. For some time, the weather community has been closely watching the potential for a developing winter storm. Rain arrives Thursday evening, and pretty much through your Friday. Temps will start in the 50s Friday morning but could crash into the upper teens and lower 20s by Friday evening, and with that, anything that falls could be in the form of sleet and snow.
Here is a snapshot of some of the model runs Friday evening. .
With the rain to sleet to snow transition ice accumulations are likely as well..
Now lets look at the snow potential.
The European shows a risk for accumulating snow throughout all of Kentucky. A general 3” possible for many.
ECMWF Total Snow, WxBell
The NAM which has been very insane with the snow totals the past runs, have actually lowered their totals.. Yes I said lowered, and it still shows the potential for hefty snow totals through central Kentucky by Saturday morning.
Hi-Res Nam Total Snow, WxBell
What can we expect?
-Rain Late Thursday
-Rain Transitions to Freezing rain by Friday afternoon as early as about 2PM. As temps are crashing and at or around freezing.
-Widespread sleet/snow by Friday evening and through Saturday morning.
Could schools close on Friday in lieu of the expected forecast? It’s a possibility, but right now the School Watch meter is showing a Low to Moderate Threat for school closings.
So thoughts on snow? I think significant accumulations are possible for the region. Since this is an early forecast, this will likely change, i could shift heavier totals further northwest or even bump up or lower totals. Still some room for error, it all depends on where the heavy axis of sleet/snow develops.
I’ll keep you posted!
Also.. FYI A Winter Storm Watch is out for some parts of the bluegrass and could extend more eastward.
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