#ItsNotRocketScience
Michael Elleman, ballistic missile analyst for 38 North comes up with a potential range of more than 8,100 miles. 38north.org/2017/11/melleman112917/
Michael Elleman is IISS Senior Fellow for Missile Defence. A leading global expert, his work is focused on assessing and countering missile threats, particularly from North Korea and Iran. He is the principal author of Missile-Defence Cooperation in the Gulf (IISS, 2016), Iran’s Ballistic Missile Capabilities: A net assessment (IISS, 2010) and the chapter on ballistic missile capabilities in the Strategic Dossier entitled North Korea’s Security Challenges (2011). He has also written numerous articles on missile proliferation and US–NATO–Russian cooperation on missile defence and is increasingly exploring issues regarding space security. Earlier this year he testified to the US Congress and is frequently asked to provide expert commentary on CNN, Al Jazeera , PBS and other news outlets.
Before joining the IISS in 2009, Mike Elleman spent five years at Booz Allen Hamilton, a US consulting firm, where he supported the implementation of Cooperative Threat Reduction programs sponsored by the US Department of Defense and the Department of Energy. He also provided weapons proliferation analyses to the Advanced Systems and Concepts Office at the Defense Threat Reduction Agency. He spent 18 months at the United Nations Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission as a missile expert for weapons inspection missions in Iraq. Prior to joining the UN, he spent two decades as a scientist as Lockheed Martin’s Research and Development Laboratory, where his activities focused on solid propellants, weapons elimination technologies, nuclear effects and special materials research. From 1995 to 2001, he led a Cooperative Threat Reduction program in Russia, aimed at dismantling obsolete long-range missiles. He is a graduate of physics from the University of California, Berkeley.
allthingsnuclear.org/dwright/nk-longest-missile-test-yet
David Wright, physicist and co-director of the UCS Global Security Program, is an established expert on the technical aspects of arms control, particularly those related to missile defense systems, missile proliferation, and space weapons.
“We do not know how heavy a payload this missile carried, but given the increase in range it seems likely that it carried a very light mock warhead. If true, that means it would be incapable of carrying a nuclear warhead to this long distance, since such a warhead would be much heavier.”
The elementary equations of ballistics neglect nearly every factor except for initial velocity and an assumed constant gravitational acceleration.
Ballistics problem require considerations of air resistance, cross winds, target motion, varying acceleration due to gravity, direction, as well as theoretical curvature, rotation and ???
“For short-range missiles, the optimum angle is close to 45 degrees from the horizontal. The angle decreases to about 22.5 degrees for a missile with a range of 10,000 kilometers.”
North Korea’s “not quite” ICBM can’t hit the lower 48 states Theodore A. PostolMarkus Schiller Robert Schmucker thebulletin .org/north-korea’s-“not-quite”-icbm-can’t-hit-lower-48-states11012
…. and finally some admission of omission
This Is Not The ICBM You Are Looking For; Detailed Analysis Of North Korean Missile
https://breakingdefense.com/2017/07/this-is-not-the-icbm-you-are-looking-for-detailed-analysis-of-north-korean-missile/ By Ralph Savelsberg on July 06, 2017 
shrt lnk: https://wp.me/p5eLCS-tf
